1. It will arrive.
2. I will get a letter demanding VAT, import duty, and handling charges.
3. It will mysteriously disappear somewhere in the last few miles of its journey.
It woyld be nice if it's option 1. But it's usually option 2 then 1. It had better bloody not be option 2., then 1, followed by 3.
A flow chart is available as a pdf if that needs further clarification.
Option No. 2 happened this morning. It is alleged the option No. 1 will happen on Tuesday.